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The Applied Finance Group would like to invite professional investors to join AFG’s Market Forecast Project so you can better understand what your peers currently think about the market and cultivate the “wisdom of Crowds” into actionable investment ideas and themes. 

This poll has been a huge success with our institutional clients and we are now sharing the results with select investment professionals that wish to participate. 

Example Results:

• For example, in 2007 our surveys identified oil prices would continue to rise, reaching at least $80 a barrel
Result -Oil reached $80 three months later in September.

• In 2008 our survey again was able to accurately predict the direction of oil – 67% said they believe oil would hit $100 before it reached $170 (Oil was at $135 at time of poll)
Result -3 months later in September oil dropped below $100

• In 2008 84% said they believed housing would harm the economy in the year ahead 
Result -By June 2009 the S&P 500 had dropped over 30%.

View Media Coverage

Participant Survey:

Select participants will complete a monthly survey of 10 to 15 short questions dealing with the stock and bond market, as well as select economic issues.  Those that participate will receive the market sentiment survey results.  

Why participate? 

We have learned that having a broad spectrum of opinions makes our surveys more powerful and useful for everyone.  By participating you make the survey more accurate and useful for yourself! Beyond that, as a participant, you will have access to survey results before they are released to the public. 

Lastly, you will have access to special research reports and seminars developed by The Applied Finance Group covering stock research, general market and economic issues.  These will include discussions by AFG’s co-founders, analysts, and outside research consultants such as Victor Canto of La Jolla Economics and economist John Tamny, among others.

Past results and media coverage:

The central idea behind Mr. Tamny’s articles are based on the 2005 book The Wisdom of Crowds by James Surowiecki, who says "groups are remarkably intelligent, and are often smarter than the smartest people in them."

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2007/08/the_wisdom_of_crowds.html

http://www.realclearmarkets.com/articles/2008/08/the_wisdom_of_crowds_part_ii.html 

If you are a professional investor and would like to participate, please fill out the form below. 
Please enter valid information so we can verify and maintain the integrity of this survey.